Vessel movement predictions you can act on
Region-specific AI that learns how vessels move, delivering accurate trajectory and ETA predictions
Problem
Vessel movement is hard to predict accurately
Vessels don't move in straight lines. Routes bend around traffic, tides, and local practice,
and that behaviour varies significantly between vessel types and from one waterway to the
next, shaped by norms and constraints that aren't visible on a chart alone.
Yet a great deal depends on getting this right, whether predicting the trajectory and ETA of a
single vessel, or how bulk traffic will react to a change in a waterway.
Getting vessel movement predictions right matters.
Solution
Predictions grounded in regional behaviour
We build AI models that learn how vessels move in specific waterways from AIS
data. These models are specialised not only by vessel type and operational context,
but by geography, ensuring predictions are finely tuned to the reality of how vessels move
in an area.
This approach allows us to provide the most accurate and reliable
view of vessel movement within an area.
AIS-Driven Learning
Real vessel behaviour, across vessel types and operating contexts, learned directly from carefully processed AIS data.
Regional Intelligence
Traffic patterns, navigational constraints, and local operating practices captured at a level of detail that other models can't achieve.
Continuously Updated
Rapidly retrained and redeployed to stay aligned with changing traffic patterns, regulations, and conditions.
Our models predict:
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Trajectory - the most likely route the vessel will take to the destination.
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ETA - the estimated arrival time with confidence bounds.
Required inputs:
Can be freely obtained directly from MarineTraffic.
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Vessel characteristics - vessel type, dimensions, and latest speed over ground.
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Transit information - live or historical vessel position and a destination, supplied as simple coordinates.
Access routes:
Our models are self-contained and easy to integrate, requiring no specialist knowledge or extra infrastructure to get started.
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No-code - use our Viewer to generate and visualise individual predictions in your web browser.
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Low-code - read the API Docs to integrate our production-ready API into existing systems for bulk predictions.
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Offline - persisted models capture local behaviour for forward deployment on offline edge devices.
Use Cases
Wherever vessel movements matter, our models deliver
Predict for a single vessel, or predict in bulk to simulate vessel traffic. Our models support any application that requires reliable vessel movement predictions within a region.
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Port operations - continuous predictions through final approach support the confident sequencing of tugs, pilots, berths, and other valuable resources.
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Marine spatial planning - predict how regional traffic might respond to changes in navigational layout, and generate synthetic AIS data to analyse affected vessels and routes.
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Vessel traffic services - predictions provide clearer situational awareness, supporting proactive routing and abnormal behaviour detection.
Models
Validated against real transits
Every model is tested against thousands of real vessel transits before deployment, with
results aggregated across each region for robust, reliable evaluation. Spatial extent and
performance metrics are published for each live model, so you can see exactly where a model
applies and how well it performs before you rely on it.
Each model is benchmarked on two tasks:
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Trajectory reconstruction - how accurately the model recreates open-water vessel transits over significant distances, using only the start and end coordinates of the voyage.
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ETA prediction - how accurately the model estimates arrival time, benchmarked against a historical baseline for the same transit.
